2013년 11월 13일 수요일

Antony Laning 's blog ::the watchtower: Lions vs. browns




Antony Laning 's blog ::the watchtower: Lions vs. browns





Week               one               of               the               2010               NFL               Season               is               upon               us,               and               it               also               ushers               in               a               start               of               a               fun               series               of               articles               that               will               help               you               predict               winners               NFL               games               each               week               using               a               power               rankings               program               devised               by               JAMcLynne.

These               NFL               power               rankings               were               created               using               JAMcLynne's               computer               with               specially               designed               software               for               creating               NFL               power               ranks.

JAMcLynne's               NFL               power               rankings               software               takes               into               account               past               team               performance,               overall               team               playing               ability,               along               with               numerous               other               parameters               to               create               a               measure               of               strength               for               each               team.

The               program               uses               mathematical               equations               to               predict               a               team's               relative               power               rank               when               compared               to               other               teams               in               the               NFL.

If               you               play               the               stock               market,               you               know               that               past               performance               is               not               an               indicator               of               future               performance.

Such               is               the               case               with               these               NFL               power               rankings.
               For               the               first               week               or               two               of               the               NFL               season,               expect               these               NFL               power               rankings               to               be               heavily               weighted               towards               the               2009               season.

The               NFL               power               ranking               program               does               take               into               account               player               changes               for               the               2010               season,               as               well               as               some               parameters               of               player               performance               in               the               2010               NFL               preseason.

JAMcLynne               plans               on               creating               his               set               of               NFL               power               rankings               for               release               on               each               Tuesday               night               of               the               upcoming               2010               NFL               season.
               The               computer               program               that               predicts               NFL               power               ranks               has               been               created               so               that               a               separation               of               4               points               in               the               NFL               power               ranking               score               could               be               considered               as               1               point               difference               on               the               field.

For               example,               pretend               that               the               New               Orleans               Saints               were               to               play               the               St               Louis               Rams               this               week.

Note               that               there               is               a               difference               of               70               points               in               the               Saints               and               Rams               NFL               Power               Rank:               104               minus               35               equals               69.

Their               difference               in               NFL               Power               Rank               score               is               69.

Dividing               69               power               rank               score               by               4               gives               about               17               points               to               the               New               Orleans               Saints.

The               New               Orleans               Saints               should               beat               the               St               Louis               Rams               on               the               field               by               17               points               based               on               their               NFL               power               rank.
               The               power               ranks               scores               that               are               included               for               each               match               up               are               the               raw               scores               produced               by               the               program.

These               raw               scores               will               differ               somewhat               in               from               this               previous               subjective               NFL               Power               Ranks               article               since               I               used               my               own               judgment               in               creating               that               list               of               NFL               teams.
               Football               games               are               played               by               humans               on               the               field.

No               computer               can               accurately               predict               how               a               team               will               perform.

The               computer               does               not               take               into               account               weather,               injuries,               or               the               stupidity               of               players               who               make               mental               mistakes               on               the               field               while               playing               in               the               game.

These               rankings               should               be               used               for               entertainment               purposes               only.
               NFL               Predictions               for               Week               One
               Produced               by               JAMcLynne's               NFL               Power               Ranking               Computer               Program:
               NFL               Week               One               Winner               in               BOLD
               MIN               (90.54)               at               NO               (104.73)               
               New               Orleans               wins               by               3.

The               unpredictable               factor               here               is               going               to               be               how               well               Brett               Favre               plays.

Will               his               ankle               hold               out?

Will               the               Vikings               come               together               quickly               enough               as               a               team               to               take               on               the               2009               Super               Bowl               Champions               Saints               and               win?
               CLE               (38.61)               at               TB               (42.03)               
               A               pair               of               NFL               power               ranking               bottom               dwelling               teams               square               off.

Home               field               advantage               tips               the               scale               to               Tampa               Bay,               who               just               might               skate               past               the               Browns.
               MIA               (57.38)               at               BUF               (44.04)               
               The               Miami               Dolphins               rushing               game               should               be               just               enough               to               overpower               the               Bills               by               a               little               less               than               a               field               goal               according               to               the               NFL               power               rankings               software.

Personally,               I               suspect               an               even               greater               point               difference               with               Miami               dominating.
               CIN               (68.74)               at               NE               (87.23)               
               Terrel               Owens               will               not               going               to               help               the               Bengals               chances               in               week               one               of               the               2010               NFL               season.

Patriots               win               by               a               touchdown.

I               do               think               that               the               Bengals               should               climb               in               the               NFL               power               ranks               as               the               season               progresses,               despite               the               loss               in               week               one.
               IND               (102.01)               at               HOU               (64.96)               
               The               real               score               should               be               a               little               closer               than               the               computer               predicts,               but               I               suspect               the               Colts               will               still               win               by               a               touchdown.
               DEN               (59.28)               at               JAC               (60.10)               
               Jacksonville               wins,               but               only               due               to               a               home               field               advantage,               according               to               the               NFL               Power               Rankings               software.

It               still               could               go               either               way.

A               wild               card               winner               if               Tebow               gets               any               action.
               ATL               (70.37)               at               PIT               (74.54)               
               Atlanta               travels               to               Steeler               country.

The               NFL               power               rankings               software               predicts               that               the               Falcons               lose               a               close               one.

The               Steelers               will               be               without               Ben               Roethlisberger,               so               it               could               still               be               advantage               Atlanta.
               OAK               (37.37)               at               TEN               (62.14)               
               Tennessee               should               have               no               problem               overpowering               Oakland               at               home               by               a               touchdown.
               CAR               (53.03)               at               NYG               (73.21)               
               Carolina               will               be               in               awe               of               the               New               Meadowlands               Stadium,               but               not               by               much.

Giant               eek               out               a               win               by               a               field               goal.
               DET               (36.56)               at               CHI               (61.89)               
               The               NFL               power               ranking               software               placed               Detroit               near               the               bottom               of               the               heap               for               this               week's               edition.

I               suspect               the               score               will               be               a               little               closer               in               this               one,               but               the               Bears               should               come               out               on               top               by               at               least               a               touch               down.
               ARI               (64.02)               at               STL               (35.68)               
               Arizona               is               rating               a               little               higher               than               they               should.

Expect               their               rankings               to               fall               further               as               the               season               progresses.

They               still               should               be               able               to               squeak               by               the               Rams               to               open               the               season.
               GB               (76.73)               at               PHI               (78.41)               
               Home               field               advantage               goes               to               the               Eagles               in               week               one               of               the               2010               NFL               season.

The               Eagles               just               may               slip               by               the               Packers.
               SF               (55.18)               at               SEA               (49.44)               
               San               Francisco               are               an               improved               team               this               year.

They               will               get               the               win               when               they               visit               Seattle.

Expect               the               49ers               NFL               power               rank               to               climb               as               the               season               progresses.
               DAL               (80.12)               at               WAS               (58.74)               
               Dallas               improved               this               year,               and               Washington               got               worse               in               terms               of               the               player               production.

Dallas               wins               by               a               touchdown.
               BAL               (75.11)               at               NYJ               (66.08)               
               Baltimore               will               spoil               the               Jets               opening               night               party               at               the               New               Meadowlands               Stadium               by               about               a               field               goal.
               SD               (91.85)               at               KC               (47.25)               
               JAMcLynne's               NFL               power               rankings               program               produced               a               lopsided               result               for               the               San               Diego               Charger               and               Kansas               City               Chiefs               game               with               the               Chargers               being               an               11               point               favorite.

The               Chargers-Chiefs               game               could               have               a               little               closer               score               than               what               the               computer               predicts.
               Here               is               the               raw               output               that               ranks               the               teams               from               top               to               bottom.

This               output               was               created               from               JAMCLynne's               NFL               Power               Ranking               Program:
               1.

New               Orleans               Saints               (104.73)               
               2.

Indianapolis               Colts               (102.01               
               3.

San               Diego               Chargers               (91.85)               
               4.

Minnesota               Vikings               (90.54)               
               5.

New               England               Patriots               (87.23)               
               6.

Dallas               Cowboys               (80.12)               
               7.

Philadelphia               Eagles               (78.41)               
               8.

Green               Bay               Packers               (76.73)               
               9.

Baltimore               Ravens               (75.11)               
               10.

Pittsburgh               Steelers               (74.54)               
               11.

New               York               Giants               (73               .21)               
               12.

Atlanta               Falcons               (70.37)               
               13.

Cincinnati               Bengals               (68.74)               
               14.

New               York               Jets               (66.08)               
               15.

Houston               Texans               (64.96)               
               16.

Arizona               Cardinals               (64.02)               
               17.

Tennessee               Titans               (62.14)               
               18.

Chicago               Bears               (61.89)               
               19.

Jacksonville               Jaguars               (60.10)               
               20.

Denver               Broncos               (59.28)               
               21.

Washington               Redskins               (58.74)               
               22.

Miami               Dolphins               (57.38)               
               23.

San               Francisco               49ers               (55.18)               
               24.

Carolina               Panthers               (53.03)               
               25.

Seattle               Seahawks               (49.44)               
               26.

Kansas               City               Chiefs               (47.25)               
               27.

Buffalo               Bills               (44.04)               
               28.

Tampa               Bay               Buccaneers               (42.03)               
               29.

Cleveland               Browns               (38.61)               
               30.

Oakland               Raiders               (37.37)               
               31.

Detroit               Lions               (36.56)               
               32.

St               Louis               Rams               (35.68)
               I               hope               you               have               enjoyed               looking               these               rankings               over               as               much               as               I               have               enjoyed               writing               the               program               to               come               up               with               the               numbers.

Feel               free               to               let               me               know               what               you               think               of               the               numbers.

Do               you               feel               that               any               teams               ranked               too               low               or               too               high?

Be               sure               to               check               back               next               Tuesday               when               I               make               week               one               results               available,               and               will               have               a               new               set               of               rankings               for               week               two               of               the               2010               NFL               season.



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